Inclusive Growth Measurement Under Different Political Regimes of Pakistan
Existing literature focuses on the determinants and ways to enhance economic growth. This, however, neglects the growth benefit to society. Distribution aspect of economic growth is ignored in the previous decades. As a result, the world cannot enjoy the benefits of economic growth. In this paper inclusive growth index (IGI) is used which is constructed by the Asian Development Bank, 2011 to investigate whether the economic growth in Pakistan creates opportunities for the entire population on an equal basis and how political regimes affect the inclusive growth. Performance of the sixteen indicators of inclusive growth index is assessed over the period of 1978-2014, under two Democratic and two dictators' regimes. The result of the study shows that inclusive growth in Pakistan is low. However, the trend of inclusive growth in Pakistan is positive. Inclusive growth can be increase by increase the pace of economic growth besides democratic culture.
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Inclusive Growth, Economic Growth, Political Economy, Political regimes, Democracy, Dictatorship.
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(1) Muhammad Masood Anwar
PhD Scholar, Kashmir Institute of Economics, University of Azad Jammu & Kashmir Muzaffarabad, Pakistan.
(2) Aftab Anwar
Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of Education, Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan.
(3) Ghulam Yahya Khan
Assistant Professor, Kashmir Institute of Economics, University of Azad Jammu & Kashmir Muzaffarabad, Pakistan.
Exploring the Factors Affecting Economic Growth in Pakistan
Economic growth varies across different countries. Various potential factors have been identified over the years, but finding relevant determinants of growth has been a real issue for empirical investigation. This paper has attempted to examine different macro-economic variables that play a significant role in accelerating economic growth from 1970 to 2019. The econometric results show that human capital, financial development, and industrial production are the encouraging factors of economic growth, while the variable trade openness shows a negative effect on economic growth in Pakistan. Government should design policies to invest inhuman capital and fixed assets; this will create job opportunities for the people and leads to high economic growth.
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Exports, Economic Growth, Human Capital, Investment
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(1) Salyha Zulfiqar Ali Shah
Assistant Professor, School of Economics, Bahauddin Zakariya University Multan, Punjab, Pakistan.
(2) Muhammad Muzammil Asghar
Crop Reporter, Crop Reporting Service, District Multan, Punjab, Pakistan.
(3) Umber Riaz
Ph.D. Scholar, Institute of Social and Cultural Studies, Bahauddin Zakariya University Multan, Punjab, Pakistan.
The Impact of Key Macroeconomic Determinants on Pakistan's Economy
This paper intended to analyze key Macroeconomic factor’s effect on Pakistan’s economic development. The annual time-series data has been taken from 1980 to 2018 on External Debts, Foreign Direct investment. Consumer Price Index and Term of Trade. Variables stationarity is analyzed by ADF and Ng-Perron tests; afterwards, JJ test and Granger Causality test are used for Long-run (LR) & Short-run(SR) associations between variables, respectively. Also, Residuals Diagnostic Test used for checking residuals assumptions and CUSUM and CUSUMSQ are used for checking parameter constancy. The result shows significantly negative and positive long-run effects of External Debts and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) respectively on the economic growth of Pakistan. Albeit, Consumer Price Index (CPI), Term of Trade (TOT) and, FDI significantly Granger cause economic growth in the short-run. Research suggests that economic policies devised in such a way that deteriorates External Debts and attract foreign investments and strengthen the economic growth of Pakistan in the long-term.
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Johansen’s Co-Integration Method; Granger Causality; External Debt; Economic Growth
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(1) Faaeza Atiq
University of Karachi, Sindh, Pakistan.
(2) Mudassir Uddin
Professor, Department of Statistics, University of Karachi, Sindh, Pakistan.
(3) Irfan Hussain Khan
Department of Economics, Government College University Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.
Estimating Convergence (and Divergence) among Developing, Emerging and Developed Economies
Economic growth process is explained by many scientists in order to materialize a cherished objective of economic growth across the globe. In the current study, convergence among developed, developing and emerging countries has been estimated. Convergence process was estimated by employing sigma, beta and omega techniques. Analysis was done for three time periods i.e. from 1980 to 2018, from 1980 to 2000 and from 2001 to 2018. Sigma and beta analysis for the period from 1980 to 2000 showed divergence among countries however there are difference among developed, developing and economies Omega analysis showed divergence of developed countries and convergence among developing and emerging countries. Last analysis from 2001 to 2018 showed convergence among countries. The results are consistent with the adoption of information technology. Therefore, fast spillover effects of information technology help the countries in convergence process and make this world a global village.
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Convergence; Divergence; Economic Growth; Information Technology Spillover; Developed; Developing Economies.
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(1) Babar Hussain
PhD Scholar, Department of Economics,Government College University Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.
(2) Muhammad Rizwan Yaseen
Assistant Professor,Department of Economics, Government College University Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.
(3) Sofia Anwar
Professor,Department of Economics, Government College University Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.
Role of Energy in Economic Growth of Pakistan (1972-2015)
This paper highlights the importance of energy in the determination of growth for economy of Pakistan. This study has been taken for the period of 1972-2015. Along with energy consumption some other important variables are also put into investigation. The Johansson co-integration estimation technique has been used to estimate the required impact. The results show that energy consumption contributed positively and significantly to long run economic growth. While the said impact is statistically insignificant in the short run, the study suggested on the basis of results that energy sources should be explored to boost which may possible to satisfy the energy need of the country and to get guaranteed economic growth in the long run. Therefore, Government should pay special attention toward the country’s energy sector to stabilize the economy which assures prosperity in the country.
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Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, Johansen CoIntegration and Pakistan.
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(1) Sher Ali
Assistant Professor,Department of Economics,Islamia College Peshawar, KP, Pakistan.
(2) Fazle Wahid
Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Islamia College Peshawar, KP, Pakistan.
(3) Abid Ali
Lecturer, Department of Economics, Islamia College Peshawar, KP, Pakistan.
Revisiting the Relationship between Military Expenditure and Economic Growth in Pakistan
This study aims to examine relationship of military expenditure and economic growth in different phases of military regimes in the context of Pakistan. This study uses two-state Markov switching models with Constant Transition Probability (CTP) and Time Varying Transition Probabilities (TVTP) for the time period: 1973-2014. This investigation analyses two sorts of relations between military expenditures and economic development through fixed transition probability Markov exchanging models. To begin with, there is negative connection between GDP growth and military expenditures during a high variance state (i.e. having low economic growth). Second, there is positive relation between both variables, during low variance state (i.e. having higher economic growth) which is also supported by idea of Keynesian income multiplier. Another, empirical test of time varying transition probability model was used to capture the switch through indicator variable. Results of the study suggest that chances of switching are increased from low to high economic growth. The chances of switching increase from lower to higher economic growth period (or high variance period) if non-military expenditure increases. The study concludes that military expenditure and economic growth are state dependent. If conditions of economy are stable then increase of expenditure results in positive outcomes, otherwise, it affects negatively. Empirical findings suggest that military spending should be planned in accordance to the economic performance of the country.
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Military expenditure, Economic growth, Markov switching models,Keynesian income multiplier.
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(1) Waqar Qureshi
PhD Scholar, Department of Economics, AWKUM, Mardan, Pakistan
(2) Noor Pio Khan
Pro-Vice Chancellor and Dean, University of Agriculture, Peshawar, Pakistan
The Mediating Role of Inflation in the Relationship between Currency Depreciation and Economic Growth
This study investigates the role of inflation as a mediator between currency depreciation and economic growth in Pakistan from 1972 to 2016. Using the Ng-Parron unit root test, the stationarity of the variables is determined. The outcomes of Ng-Parron unit root tests indicate that all variables in the model exhibit mix-order integration. This paper also employs the Autoregressive Distributive Lag Model (ARDL) to evaluate the relationship between currency depreciation, inflation, and economic expansion. The results show very clearly that the inflation rate does not play a role in the link between currency depreciation and economic growth in the case of Pakistan.
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Depreciation, Economic Growth, Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL)
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(1) Naveed Ali
Department of Economics & Development Studies, University of Swat, KP, Pakistan
(2) Izhar Ul Hassan
Government of Pakhtunkhwa Planning and Development Department, Peshawar, KP, Pakistan
(3) Abdul Wahab
Government Polytechnical Institute, Sardar Garhi, Peshawar, KP, Pakistan.
The Effects of Devaluation of Currency on Economic Growth: The Mediating Role of Remittances
This study looks into how the devaluation of the Pakistani currency affected remittances (REM) and economic growth (EG) in Pakistan. The study also looks at how REM affects the link between the devaluation of the currency and the growth of the economy in Pakistan Over the course of 45 years, from 1972 to 2016. The study uses Autoregressive Distributive Lag Model (ARDL) for examining the relationship. This study uses sensitivity analysis and chooses among different econometric techniques, which take into account the endogeneity problem. The results show that remittances partially mediate the relationship between the devaluation of currency and economic growth.Moreover, a one unit rise in REM leads to a 0.47 unit decrease in EG.
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Devaluation, Remittances, Economic Growth, Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL)
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(1) Naveed Ali
Department of Economics & Development Studies, University of Swat, KP, Pakistan
(2) Izhar Ul Hassan
Government of Pakhtunkhwa Planning and Development Department, Peshawar, KP, Pakistan.
(3) Abdul Wahab
Qurtaba University of Science and Technology, Peshawar, KP, Pakistan
English Linguistics in the Nexus of Economic Growth and Cultural Evolution
This article investigates the profound role of English linguistics in shaping economic growth as well as cultural evolution in a world that is highly globalized. With the language ascending toward its status as a global lingua franca, it has greatly influenced international trade, labor mobility, and digital communication, thereby enhancing international economic integration. The economic benefits of knowing English include more competitive information technology and business process outsourcing industries in countries with higher proficiency levels, such as India and the Philippines. Also, there is the cultural dimension of advancing globalization that questions the internationalization of English, linguistic imperialism, and cultural homogenization. On the other hand, while several scholars have contended that the spread of English erodes linguistic diversity, others point out that English is also adaptive: local cultures combine English with native languages to create hybrid forms, including the renowned "Hinglish" and "Singlish."
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English Linguistics, Migration, Economic Growth, Cultural Evolution, Globalization, Linguistic Imperialism, Identity Formation, Human Capital Development, International Relations
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(1) Sadaf -
MPhil Scholar, Department of English, Abdul Wali Khan University Mardan, KP, Pakistan.
(2) Muhammad Zeeshan Naseer
Lecturer, Department of Sociology, Government MAO Graduate College, Lahore, Pakistan.
(3) Ahmad Sheraz
M.Phil Scholar, School of International Relations, Minhaj University Lahore, Punjab Pakistan.