ARTICLE

IMPACT OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE ELASTICITY ON FINANCIAL DISTRESS OF FIRMS A COMPARISON OF DEVELOPED AND EMERGING ECONOMIES

02 Pages : 18-44

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2018(III-I).02      10.31703/gssr.2018(III-I).02      Published : Mar 1

Impact of Foreign Exchange Exposure Elasticity on Financial Distress of Firms: A Comparison of Developed and Emerging Economies

    This study looks into the potential effect of foreign exchange exposure elasticity (FEEE) on the financial distress of non-financial firms from an emerging country (Pakistan) and a developed country (USA) during 2003-2015. It employs mixed methodology in which a comprehensive quantitative analysis is made from the panel data of the sample companies from both countries (Pakistan and USA). Subsequently, views of Chief Finance Officers (CFOs) of different companies are given. Results show that the effect of foreign exchange exposure is not statistically significant on the financial distress of Pakistani firms at contemporaneous level but it has positive significant effect at lagged level. Results also show that at gross exposure level, foreign exchange exposure of US manufacturing firms has a significantly positive effect on their financial distress contemporaneously but not at net market level. In case of US non-manufacturing firms, the foreign exchange exposure elasticity does not impact significantly on the Z-Score at gross exposure level. But the market model shows a weak significant effect of the FE Exposure on the distress of such firms in USA at relatively higher significance level. The firms fundamental attributes except foreign sales exhibit a significant effect on the financial distress. Only debt has negative coefficient which describes a positive effect on the financial distress. The findings have notable implications for the financial stability of the firms, especially in Pakistan.

    Foreign Exchange, Exposure Elasticity, Financial Distress, Stability, Financial Crisis, Emerging, Multinational Firms, Chief Finance Officer
    (1) Allah Bakhsh
    Assistant Professor, Department of Commerce, Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan, Pakistan.
    (2) Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah
    Associate Professor, Faculty of Management Sciences, International Islamic University, Islamabad, Pakistan.
  • Adler, M., and Dumas, B.(1984). Exposure to currency risk: Definition and measurement, Financial Management, 13(2), pp. 41-50.
  • Aggarwal, R., and Harper, J.(2010). Foreign exchange exposure of
  • Altman, E.(1968). Financial ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy, Journal of Finance: 23, 589-609.
  • Anand, K. (2001). Industrial structure and the exchange-rate exposure of industry portfolio returns, Global Finance Journal, 12, 285-297.
  • Andrade, G. and Kaplan, S.N. (1998). How Costly is financial (not Economic) Distress? Evidence from Highly Leveraged Transactions that Became Distressed, Journal of Finance, 53, 1443-1494.
  • Asquith P, Gertner, R., and Scharfstein, D.(1994). Anatomy of Financial Distress: An Examination of Junk-bond Issuers. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109(3), 1189-1222.
  • Bartov, E., Bodnar, G.M., (1994),
  • Bartram, M, S., Brown, G., W. and Minton, B., A. (2010). Resolving the exposure puzzle: The many facets of exchange rate exposure, Journal of Financial Economics, 95, 148-173.
  • Bartram, S.M.(2007). Corporate cash flow and stock price exposures to foreign exchange rate risk, Journal of Corporate Finance, 13, 981-994.
  • Bergbrant, M. and Hunter, D. M., (2011),
  • Bodnar, M. G., Dumas, B., Marston, C. R.(2002). Pass-through and Exposure, The Journal of Finance, LVII (I), 199-232.
  • Campello, M., John G., and Harvey G. R.(2010). The Real Effects of Financial Constraints: Evidence from a Financial Crisis, NBER Working Paper No. 15552.
  • Choi, J.J., Prasad, A.M. (1995). Exchange risk sensitivity and its determinants: a firm and industry analysis of U.S. multinationals, Financial Management, 24 (3), 77-88.
  • Chow, E., and. Chen, H. H-L. (1998). The determinants of foreign exchange rate exposure: Evidence on Japanese firms, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 6, 153-174.
  • Dominguez, K.M.E. and Tesar, L.L. (2006). Exchange rate exposure, Journal of International Economics, 68, 188- 218.
  • El-Masry, A. and Abdel- Salam, O. (2007). Exchange rate exposure: do size and foreign operations matter, Managerial Finance, 33(9), 741-765.
  • Faff, R.W., and Marshall, A.(2005). International Evidence on Determinants of Foreign Exchange Rate Exposure of Multinational Companies, Journal of International Business Studies, 36, 539-538.
  • Fornes, G. and Cardoza, G. (2009). Foreign exchange exposure in emerging markets. A study of Spanish companies in Latin America. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 4(1), 6-25.
  • Grambovas C.A., and McLeay's.,(2006),
  • Jorion, P., (1990),
  • Jorion, P., (1991),
  • Kaplan, S., N., and Zingales, L., (1997),
  • Karamzadeh, M. S.(2013). Application and Comparison of Altman and Ohlson Models to Predict Bankruptcy of Companies, Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology, 5(6), 13-21.
  • Kim, S.K., and Kraple, A. (2014). Foreign Exchange Exposure, Financial Distress and Bankruptcy, EFA, conference, USA.
  • Madura, J. (2003). International Financial Management (7th ed.). South-Western Boston, MA: College Publishing.
  • Modigliani, F., and Miller, M., (1958),
  • Moosa, I.(2009). International Finance: an analytical approach, (Ed, 3).
  • Ohlson, J., (1980),
  • Salifu, Z., Osei, K. A. and Adjasi, C. K.D. (2007). Foreign exchange risk exposure of listed companies in Ghana. The Journal of Risk Finance, 8(4), 380-393.
  • Shapiro, A.C. (1975). Exchange rate changes, inflation, and the value of the multinational corporation, The Journal of Finance, 30, 485-502.
  • Sidra, A.M. and Attiya, J. (2013). Determinants of Financial Performance of a firm: Case of Pakistani Stock Market, Journal of Economics and International Finance, 5(2), 43-52.
  • Stulz, R.M.(2003). Derivatives, Risk Management, and Financial Engineering. Cincinnati: Southwestern Publishing Co.
  • Sukor, M.E.A. (2014). Exchange Rate Exposure of Developed and emerging Markets: A Review, International review of research in emerging markets and the global Economy (IRREM), 1(2), 108-121
  • Wei, K.D. and Starks, L.T. (2013). Foreign Exchange Exposure Elasticity and Financial Distress, Financial Management. Winter, 709 - 735.
  • Whitaker, R. B. (1999),
  • Williamson, R. (2001). Exchange rate exposure and competition: Evidence from the automotive industry, Journal of Financial Economics, 59, 441-475.
  • Wruck, K. H. (1990). Financial distress, reorganization, and organizational efficiency, Journal of Financial Economics, 27, 419-444
  • Madura, J. (2002). International Financial Management, (10th ed.).
  • Imad A. Musa. (2002). international Finance, 3rd edition
  • Eun & Resnick. (2001). International Financial Management, (2 nd ed.).

Cite this article

    APA : Bakhsh, A., & Shah, S. Z. A. (2018). Impact of Foreign Exchange Exposure Elasticity on Financial Distress of Firms: A Comparison of Developed and Emerging Economies. Global Social Sciences Review, III(I), 18-44. https://doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2018(III-I).02
    CHICAGO : Bakhsh, Allah, and Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah. 2018. "Impact of Foreign Exchange Exposure Elasticity on Financial Distress of Firms: A Comparison of Developed and Emerging Economies." Global Social Sciences Review, III (I): 18-44 doi: 10.31703/gssr.2018(III-I).02
    HARVARD : BAKHSH, A. & SHAH, S. Z. A. 2018. Impact of Foreign Exchange Exposure Elasticity on Financial Distress of Firms: A Comparison of Developed and Emerging Economies. Global Social Sciences Review, III, 18-44.
    MHRA : Bakhsh, Allah, and Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah. 2018. "Impact of Foreign Exchange Exposure Elasticity on Financial Distress of Firms: A Comparison of Developed and Emerging Economies." Global Social Sciences Review, III: 18-44
    MLA : Bakhsh, Allah, and Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah. "Impact of Foreign Exchange Exposure Elasticity on Financial Distress of Firms: A Comparison of Developed and Emerging Economies." Global Social Sciences Review, III.I (2018): 18-44 Print.
    OXFORD : Bakhsh, Allah and Shah, Syed Zulfiqar Ali (2018), "Impact of Foreign Exchange Exposure Elasticity on Financial Distress of Firms: A Comparison of Developed and Emerging Economies", Global Social Sciences Review, III (I), 18-44
    TURABIAN : Bakhsh, Allah, and Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah. "Impact of Foreign Exchange Exposure Elasticity on Financial Distress of Firms: A Comparison of Developed and Emerging Economies." Global Social Sciences Review III, no. I (2018): 18-44. https://doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2018(III-I).02