ARTICLE

CAUSALITY OF HIGHER EDUCATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN ECONOMY

33 Pages : 330-338

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2021(VI-II).33      10.31703/gssr.2021(VI-II).33      Published : Jun 2

Causality of Higher Education and Unemployment: An Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Economy

    Higher education and unemployment is a substantial concern for developing countries and developed countries as well. To get the empirical evidence of the Pakistan economy, the present research is being carrying on. This study applies time series data in nature covering the period from 1985 to 2018. Assessing the long run association within the policy indicators and commuting the causality of higher education and unemployment, two different econometric techniques Johansen Co-integration and Granger Causality test is arrayed whereas the annual speed of adjustment is estimated when disequilibrium enters in the system through VECM model. The Johansen Co-integration’s test reports 5 co-integrating equations and error term reveals 3 Percent for higher education in first model which postulate speed of adjustment in case of disequilibrium. Whereas second model explains 4 co-integrated and VECM reflects The results presents that any disequilibrium transpires in short term, higher education enrollment and unemployment will be converging to equilibrium in the long run at the speed of 32 and 36 percent correspondingly. The Granger causality test’s findings imply that higher education does not affect the unemployment whereas unemployment is reported to be responsive towards higher education which means unemployed labor force again enroll for higher education to absorb capacity for new professional avenues by producing innovative and constructive ideas.

    Higher Education, Unemployment, Pakistan, Economy
    (1) Malik Saqib Ali
    Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, National University of Modern Languages, Islamabad, Pakistan.
    (2) Muhammad Sohail
    Lecturer, Department of Economics, National University of Modern Languages, Islamabad, Pakistan.
    (3) Zahid Mehmood Akhtar
    Lecturer, Department of Economics, National University of Modern Languages, Islamabad, Pakistan.
  • Manaseer, D. S. A., & Qudah, A. M. A. (2018). The Impact of Higher Education Output on Unemployment Rates in Jordan. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 8(2), 65-72. https://doi.org/10.6007/ijarafms/v8-i2/4138
  • Assaad, R., Badawy, E., & Krafft, C. (2016). Pedagogy, Accountability, and Perceptions of Quality by Type of Higher Education in Egypt and Jordan. Comparative Education Review, 60(4), 746–775. https://doi.org/10.1086/688421
  • Akhtar, S., & Shahnaz, L. (2005). Understanding the youth unemployment conundrum in Pakistan: Preliminary empirical macro- micro analysis. Indian Journal of Labour Economics, 49(2), 233-248 #
  • Erdem, E., & Tugcu, C. T. (2012). Higher Education and Unemployment: a cointegration and causality analysis of the case of Turkey. European Journal of Education, 47(2), 299–309. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465- 3435.2012.01526.x
  • Farley, J. E. (1987). Disproportionate Black and Hispanic Unemployment in U.S. Metropolitan Areas: The Roles of Racial Inequality, Segregation and Discrimination in Male Joblessness. American Journal of Economics and Sociology, 46(2), 129–150. #
  • Fischer, S. (1993). The role of macroeconomic factors in growth. Journal of Monetary Economics, 32(3), 485–512. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304- 3932(93)90027-d
  • Hanapi, Z., & Nordin, M. S. (2014). Unemployment among Malaysia Graduates: Graduates’Attributes, Lecturers’ Competency and Quality of Education. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 112, 1056–1063. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2014.01.12 69
  • Jonaidi, A. (2012). Analysis of the Economic Growth and Poverty in Indonesia. Journal of Economic Studies, 1(1), 140-164. #
  • Lavrinovicha, I., Lavrinenko, O., & Teivans- Treinovskis, J. (2015). Influence of Education on Unemployment Rate and Incomes of Residents. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 174, 3824–3831. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2015.01.11 20
  • Livanos, I. (2010). The relationship between higher education and labour market in Greece: the weakest link? Higher Education, 60(5), 473–489. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10734-010-9310-1
  • Mirica, A. (2014). "Higher Education–A Solution To Unemployment? Case Study: Romania." Romanian Statistical Review 62(3), 63-75. #
  • Mincer, J. (1991). Education and Unemployment (No. w3838; p. w3838). #
  • Núñez, I., & Livanos, I. (2009). Higher education and unemployment in Europe: an analysis of the academic subject and national effects. Higher Education, 59(4), 475–487. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10734-009-9260-7
  • Ou, D., & Zhao, Z. (2016). Higher Education Expansion and Labor Market Outcomes for Young College Graduates. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2716584
  • Rotheim, R. (2007). Notes on Employment and unemployment: A main stream perspective. Skidmore college. New York. #
  • Schofer, E., & Meyer, J. W. (2005). The Worldwide Expansion of Higher Education in the Twentieth Century. American Sociological Review, 70(6), 898–920. https://doi.org/10.1177/0003122405070006 02
  • Smith, S. C., & Todaro, M. P. (1998). Economic Development, The Pearson Series in Economics 2011. #
  • Wolf, A. (2004). Education and Economic Performance: Simplistic Theories and their Policy Consequences. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 20(2), 315–333. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grh018
  • Wang, D., Liu, D., & Lai, C. (2012). Expansion of higher education and the employment crisis: policy innovations in China. On the Horizon, 20(4), 336–344. https://doi.org/10.1108/1074812121127247 0

Cite this article

    APA : Ali, M. S., Sohail, M., & Akhtar, Z. M. (2021). Causality of Higher Education and Unemployment: An Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Economy. Global Social Sciences Review, VI(II), 330-338. https://doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2021(VI-II).33
    CHICAGO : Ali, Malik Saqib, Muhammad Sohail, and Zahid Mehmood Akhtar. 2021. "Causality of Higher Education and Unemployment: An Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Economy." Global Social Sciences Review, VI (II): 330-338 doi: 10.31703/gssr.2021(VI-II).33
    HARVARD : ALI, M. S., SOHAIL, M. & AKHTAR, Z. M. 2021. Causality of Higher Education and Unemployment: An Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Economy. Global Social Sciences Review, VI, 330-338.
    MHRA : Ali, Malik Saqib, Muhammad Sohail, and Zahid Mehmood Akhtar. 2021. "Causality of Higher Education and Unemployment: An Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Economy." Global Social Sciences Review, VI: 330-338
    MLA : Ali, Malik Saqib, Muhammad Sohail, and Zahid Mehmood Akhtar. "Causality of Higher Education and Unemployment: An Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Economy." Global Social Sciences Review, VI.II (2021): 330-338 Print.
    OXFORD : Ali, Malik Saqib, Sohail, Muhammad, and Akhtar, Zahid Mehmood (2021), "Causality of Higher Education and Unemployment: An Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Economy", Global Social Sciences Review, VI (II), 330-338
    TURABIAN : Ali, Malik Saqib, Muhammad Sohail, and Zahid Mehmood Akhtar. "Causality of Higher Education and Unemployment: An Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Economy." Global Social Sciences Review VI, no. II (2021): 330-338. https://doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2021(VI-II).33